Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.51) 1.11 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 30.7% 40.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 13.8% 15.3% 8.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ PicernoAtalanta II
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack46%38%
Defense62%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Picerno Atalanta II
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins21%27%24%29%33%31%
Draws43%20%31%29%20%24%
Loses36%53%45%43%47%45%

Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWLLLLDLLWLLLDDWDDWLWWLD • Atalanta II: LWDLLLLDWWWWLDWLDLLLWLDLLDWDW

League goals

Metric AZ Picerno Atalanta II
HATHAT
GF total171734261440
GF avg1.21.11.21.90.91.4
GA total182745201636
GA avg1.31.81.61.41.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ PicernoAtalanta II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%62%79%
1.541%52%34%38%
2.53%10%17%3%
3.50%3%10%3%
4.50%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ PicernoAtalanta II
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score4484711

Penalties

MetricAZ PicernoAtalanta II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAZ PicernoAtalanta II
Wins24
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-26-22-4
Biggest losses0-26-23-42-0
Goals For3264
Goals Against2642

Model comparison

MetricAZ PicernoAtalanta II
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total41.6%58.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atalanta II and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 0.87 (league 1.51), Atalanta II = 1.11 (league 1.06)

Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 13.8% 15.3% 8.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 40.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1