Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.52) 1.24 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 24.1% 28.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 5.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.1% 11.3% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliCasarano
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack23%54%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Casarano
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%40%40%47%27%37%
Draws33%20%27%33%13%23%
Loses27%40%33%20%60%40%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWWWLDWLLWWDL • Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDLWLLLDDWLWLWD

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Casarano
HATHAT
GF total171330212041
GF avg1.10.91.01.41.31.4
GA total151732143549
GA avg1.01.11.10.92.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%67%77%73%
1.523%30%40%47%
2.57%7%20%27%
3.50%3%0%10%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610718
Failed to score369347

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliCasarano
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliCasarano
Wins33
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-36-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliCasarano
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total56.4%43.6%

Advice: Double chance : SS Monopoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 1.67 (league 1.52), Casarano = 1.24 (league 1.05)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 5.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.1% 11.3% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 28.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1