Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.52) 0.69 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 19.1% 11.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaCasertana
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack54%54%
Defense77%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Casertana
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins87%27%57%60%33%47%
Draws13%47%30%27%20%23%
Loses0%27%13%13%47%30%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWWDL • Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWWDLLLWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Catania Casertana
HATHAT
GF total311647251843
GF avg2.11.11.61.71.21.4
GA total01717172239
GA avg0.01.10.61.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%80%73%
1.543%13%43%40%
2.513%7%20%13%
3.510%3%0%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets15520448
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricCataniaCasertana
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricCataniaCasertana
Wins43
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-10-3
Biggest losses—4-10-34-0
Goals For6333
Goals Against0434

Model comparison

MetricCataniaCasertana
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h75%25%
Goals71%29%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Catania or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away7.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 2.08 (league 1.52), Casertana = 0.69 (league 1.05)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1