Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.52) 1.33 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 25.0% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Audace Cerignola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta II 0 5.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalanta IIAudace Cerignola
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack46%46%
Defense77%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta II Audace Cerignola
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins29%31%30%40%40%40%
Draws29%25%27%33%27%30%
Loses43%44%43%27%33%30%

Form: Atalanta II: LWDLLLLDWWWWLDWLDLLLWLDLLDWDWD • Audace Cerignola: DDWLDWDLLLLLWWWWDDLDWWDWWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Atalanta II Audace Cerignola
HATHAT
GF total261541231538
GF avg1.90.91.41.51.01.3
GA total201737201838
GA avg1.41.11.21.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalanta IIAudace Cerignola
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%80%67%63%
1.533%37%37%40%
2.517%3%17%17%
3.510%3%7%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalanta IIAudace Cerignola
HATHAT
Clean sheets3366511
Failed to score47114610

Penalties

MetricAtalanta IIAudace Cerignola
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricAtalanta IIAudace Cerignola
Wins44
Draws12
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-22-44-01-3
Biggest losses3-42-00-43-0
Goals For6443
Goals Against4243

Model comparison

MetricAtalanta IIAudace Cerignola
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta II = 1.50 (league 1.52), Audace Cerignola = 1.33 (league 1.05)

Audace Cerignola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta II 0 5.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1