Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.51) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 26.3% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 11.5% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaCavese
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack55%45%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Cavese
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%19%32%38%13%26%
Draws40%25%32%31%33%32%
Loses13%56%35%31%53%42%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDLWLLDDWWLLW • Cavese: DLLDLLWLLWWDWDDLLDLWLLDDDWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Potenza Cavese
HATHAT
GF total231639181230
GF avg1.51.01.31.10.81.0
GA total133245142236
GA avg0.92.01.50.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaCavese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%61%65%
1.542%52%29%42%
2.516%19%6%10%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaCavese
HATHAT
Clean sheets82106511
Failed to score46104812

Penalties

MetricPotenzaCavese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricPotenzaCavese
Wins22
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-23-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaCavese
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.49 (league 1.51), Cavese = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 11.5% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 11.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1