Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.51) 0.93 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 29.0% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 11.5% 10.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaSS Monopoli
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack50%50%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana SS Monopoli
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins60%31%45%44%40%42%
Draws27%25%26%31%20%26%
Loses13%44%29%25%40%32%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWWDLLLWDLWLWD • SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWWWLDWLLWWDLW

League goals

Metric Casertana SS Monopoli
HATHAT
GF total251843191332
GF avg1.71.11.41.20.91.0
GA total172239161733
GA avg1.11.41.31.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaSS Monopoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%71%71%68%
1.542%39%26%29%
2.519%13%6%6%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaSS Monopoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets4594610
Failed to score347369

Penalties

MetricCasertanaSS Monopoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricCasertanaSS Monopoli
Wins33
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-24-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaSS Monopoli
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SS Monopoli

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.24 (league 1.51), SS Monopoli = 0.93 (league 1.06)

SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 11.5% 10.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 27.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1