Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.52) 0.74 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.7% 12.3% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaCasarano
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack27%47%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Casarano
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins81%31%56%50%25%38%
Draws19%44%31%31%13%22%
Loses0%25%13%19%63%41%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWWDLDW • Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDLWLLLDDWLWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Catania Casarano
HATHAT
GF total311849232144
GF avg1.91.11.51.41.31.4
GA total01818153752
GA avg0.01.10.60.92.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%34%78%75%
1.544%13%41%47%
2.513%6%19%25%
3.59%3%0%9%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets16521718
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricCataniaCasarano
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricCataniaCasarano
Wins43
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses—4-11-36-2
Goals For6333
Goals Against0436

Model comparison

MetricCataniaCasarano
Form53%47%
Att36%64%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Casarano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ 888Sport
Away9.00 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bwin
No1.73 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 2.88 (league 1.52), Casarano = 0.74 (league 1.05)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.7% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 6.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1