Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.51) 1.11 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 30.1% 39.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 12.7% 14.1% 7.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ PicernoSS Monopoli
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack19%38%
Defense63%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Picerno SS Monopoli
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins19%24%21%47%38%42%
Draws50%18%33%29%19%24%
Loses31%59%45%24%44%33%

Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLLDWLLLLDLLWLLLDDWDDWLWWLDDLDL • SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWWWLDWLLWWDLWLW

League goals

Metric AZ Picerno SS Monopoli
HATHAT
GF total191837211435
GF avg1.21.11.11.20.91.1
GA total203151171936
GA avg1.31.81.51.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ PicernoSS Monopoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%85%73%70%
1.536%52%27%30%
2.53%9%6%6%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ PicernoSS Monopoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets3254610
Failed to score459369

Penalties

MetricAZ PicernoSS Monopoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricAZ PicernoSS Monopoli
Wins23
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-26-20-24-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2624

Model comparison

MetricAZ PicernoSS Monopoli
Form30%70%
Att33%67%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Picerno or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 0.95 (league 1.51), SS Monopoli = 1.11 (league 1.05)

SS Monopoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 12.7% 14.1% 7.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 39.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1