Mon, Mar 30 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.51) 0.84 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 22.7% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 7.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.8% 10.8% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaSorrento
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack63%75%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Sorrento
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins63%35%48%24%25%24%
Draws25%24%24%47%13%30%
Loses13%41%27%29%63%45%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDDWWWDWWWDLLLWDLWLWDWW • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLLLWDWDLWLLWLWLWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Casertana Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total272047231336
GF avg1.71.21.41.40.81.1
GA total182240242549
GA avg1.11.31.21.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%70%67%79%
1.545%36%36%52%
2.518%12%6%15%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610437
Failed to score3474711

Penalties

MetricCasertanaSorrento
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricCasertanaSorrento
Wins31
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaSorrento
Form91%9%
Att45%55%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h85%15%
Goals72%28%
Total71.8%28.2%

Advice: Double chance : Casertana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Superbet
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away6.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.80 (league 1.51), Sorrento = 0.84 (league 1.05)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 7.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.8% 10.8% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 17.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1