Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.51) 0.63 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 33.7% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 19.2% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneCatania
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack82%45%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone Catania
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins59%33%46%72%35%54%
Draws6%33%20%22%41%31%
Loses35%33%34%6%24%14%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWDLWDWWLDWL • Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWWDLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Crotone Catania
HATHAT
GF total242953331952
GF avg1.41.61.51.81.11.5
GA total11233431821
GA avg0.61.31.00.21.10.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%66%83%37%
1.549%26%40%14%
2.526%6%11%6%
3.56%0%9%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets841216622
Failed to score5510336

Penalties

MetricCrotoneCatania
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total75

Streaks

MetricCrotoneCatania
Wins44
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-24-1
Goals For3463
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneCatania
Form47%53%
Att64%36%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Crotone or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 1.02 (league 1.51), Catania = 0.63 (league 1.05)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 19.2% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 22.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1