Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.62) 0.73 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 33.4% 26.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
São Paulo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians W 0 17.9% 13.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthians WSão Paulo W
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%23%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians W São Paulo W
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins89%56%72%40%75%56%
Draws0%44%22%40%13%28%
Loses11%0%6%20%13%17%

Form: Corinthians W: WWDLDWDWWDWWWWWWWW • São Paulo W: WWDLWWDLWDWWWWWDDL

League goals

Metric Corinthians W São Paulo W
HATHAT
GF total292352201232
GF avg3.22.62.92.01.51.8
GA total58139413
GA avg0.60.90.70.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthians WSão Paulo W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%78%56%
1.567%22%39%11%
2.533%0%17%6%
3.533%0%17%0%
4.522%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthians WSão Paulo W
HATHAT
Clean sheets639448
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricCorinthians WSão Paulo W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricCorinthians WSão Paulo W
Wins25
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-02-88-00-4
Biggest losses1-21-31-0
Goals For8884
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricCorinthians WSão Paulo W
Form65%35%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Corinthians W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.35 @ Unibet
Away7.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians W = 0.99 (league 1.62), São Paulo W = 0.73 (league 1.23)

São Paulo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians W 0 17.9% 13.1% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 26.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1