Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 13:30 • Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.62) 2.20 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 19.9% 39.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro W 0 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
1 2.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
4 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiro WPalmeiras W
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack62%100%
Defense54%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro W Palmeiras W
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins78%67%72%40%75%56%
Draws22%22%22%20%13%17%
Loses0%11%6%40%13%28%

Form: Cruzeiro W: WWDWWWWDWWWWWDLDWW • Palmeiras W: DWDWWWLWLWDLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro W Palmeiras W
HATHAT
GF total231740202444
GF avg2.61.92.22.03.02.4
GA total8816161026
GA avg0.90.90.91.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiro WPalmeiras W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%61%89%78%
1.567%11%72%50%
2.539%11%44%17%
3.517%6%28%0%
4.56%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiro WPalmeiras W
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricCruzeiro WPalmeiras W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricCruzeiro WPalmeiras W
Wins53
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-01-5
Biggest losses—4-21-33-2
Goals For5345
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiro WPalmeiras W
Form47%53%
Att35%65%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cruzeiro W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away2.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Unibet
No2.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruzeiro W = 2.09 (league 1.62), Palmeiras W = 2.20 (league 1.23)

Palmeiras W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro W 0 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
1 2.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
4 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1