Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.48) 0.05 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 50.1% 2.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.5%
1 - 0
32.7%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 48.5% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneFoggia
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack11%22%
Defense100%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone Foggia
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Crotone: W • Foggia: W

League goals

Metric Crotone Foggia
HATHAT
GF total101202
GF avg1.00.01.02.00.02.0
GA total000101
GA avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneFoggia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneFoggia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCrotoneFoggia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCrotoneFoggia
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For1020
Goals Against0010

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneFoggia
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total54.3%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Crotone or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Superbet
Draw4.31 @ Pinnacle
Away6.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 0.67 (league 1.48), Foggia = 0.05 (league 0.95)

Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 48.5% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 50.1% · Away win 2.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1