Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.45) 0.05 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
86.6% 6.8% 0.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.9%
3 - 0
21.1%
1 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 6.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Played11
Form100%33%
Attack29%29%
Defense100%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 22 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Ascoli
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—0%0%
Draws0%—0%—100%100%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Sambenedettese: W • Ascoli: D

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total202022
GF avg2.00.02.00.02.02.0
GA total000022
GA avg0.00.00.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseAscoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total04

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses————
Goals For2002
Goals Against0002

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sambenedettese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betano
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 2.77 (league 1.45), Ascoli = 0.05 (league 0.95)

Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 6.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 86.6% · Draw 6.8% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1