Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Palogrande
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.42) 0.32 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 23.6% 7.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 14.9% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 7.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.8% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnce CaldasIndependiente del Valle
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%78%
Defense89%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Once Caldas Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
Played6612325
Wins83%83%83%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses17%17%17%33%50%40%

Form: Once Caldas: WLWWWWLWWWWW • Independiente del Valle: WDWLL

League goals

Metric Once Caldas Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
GF total91322527
GF avg1.52.21.81.71.01.4
GA total257235
GA avg0.30.80.60.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnce CaldasIndependiente del Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%80%60%
1.558%17%20%40%
2.533%0%20%0%
3.58%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnce CaldasIndependiente del Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets437202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricOnce CaldasIndependiente del Valle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOnce CaldasIndependiente del Valle
Wins41
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-0
Biggest losses0-12-00-22-1
Goals For4341
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricOnce CaldasIndependiente del Valle
Form68%32%
Att65%35%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total74.5%25.5%

Advice: Winner : Once Caldas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Once Caldas = 1.58 (league 1.42), Independiente del Valle = 0.32 (league 0.92)

Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Once Caldas 0 14.9% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 7.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.8% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 7.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1