Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.52) 1.06 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 27.5% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCimarronesTecos
Played44
Form83%58%
Attack55%73%
Defense82%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.58 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.57 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cimarrones Tecos
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%100%50%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%25%

Form: Cimarrones: WWWD • Tecos: WLWD

League goals

Metric Cimarrones Tecos
HATHAT
GF total426358
GF avg2.01.01.51.52.52.0
GA total112527
GA avg0.50.50.52.51.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCimarronesTecos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%75%
1.525%0%75%50%
2.525%0%25%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCimarronesTecos
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCimarronesTecos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCimarronesTecos
Wins31
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1—0-2
Biggest losses——2-4—
Goals For3123
Goals Against1142

Model comparison

MetricCimarronesTecos
Form59%41%
Att43%57%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total63.6%36.4%

Advice: Double chance : Cimarrones or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.88 @ Marathonbet
Away4.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betfair
No2.25 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cimarrones = 1.32 (league 1.52), Tecos = 1.06 (league 1.18)

Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1