Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Tres de Marzo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.52) 2.13 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 20.9% 50.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 2.7% 5.8% 6.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
1 4.0% 8.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5%
2 3.0% 6.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTecosMineros de Fresnillo
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack53%26%
Defense58%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tecos Mineros de Fresnillo
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%100%60%33%0%20%
Draws50%0%20%0%50%20%
Loses50%0%20%67%50%60%

Form: Tecos: WLWDW • Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLW

League goals

Metric Tecos Mineros de Fresnillo
HATHAT
GF total3710325
GF avg1.52.32.01.01.01.0
GA total5387310
GA avg2.51.01.62.31.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTecosMineros de Fresnillo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%60%100%
1.580%40%40%60%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%20%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTecosMineros de Fresnillo
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricTecosMineros de Fresnillo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTecosMineros de Fresnillo
Wins10
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-1—
Biggest losses2-4—1-41-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against4242

Model comparison

MetricTecosMineros de Fresnillo
Form71%29%
Att67%33%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h100%0%
Goals73%27%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Double chance : Tecos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Marathonbet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Marathonbet
No2.50 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tecos = 1.48 (league 1.52), Mineros de Fresnillo = 2.13 (league 1.18)

Mineros de Fresnillo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 2.7% 5.8% 6.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
1 4.0% 8.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5%
2 3.0% 6.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 50.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1