Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.51)
0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.2% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 36% | 93% |
| Defense | 71% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 67% | 80% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Leones Negros: DLDWW • Durango: WWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | Durango | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Durango
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros = 0.86 (league 1.51), Durango = 0.85 (league 1.17)
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 32.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1