Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.52) 1.28 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 29.5% 54.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 0
15.9%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres de Alica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 15.9% 20.3% 13.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 11.4% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCimarronesTigres de Alica
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack53%41%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cimarrones Tigres de Alica
HATHAT
Played336246
Wins67%67%67%0%75%50%
Draws0%33%17%0%25%17%
Loses33%0%17%100%0%33%

Form: Cimarrones: WWWDLW • Tigres de Alica: DWWLWL

League goals

Metric Cimarrones Tigres de Alica
HATHAT
GF total5510268
GF avg1.71.71.71.01.51.3
GA total314426
GA avg1.00.30.72.00.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCimarronesTigres de Alica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%67%
1.533%17%33%33%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCimarronesTigres de Alica
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCimarronesTigres de Alica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCimarronesTigres de Alica
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3—0-2
Biggest losses1-2—1-2—
Goals For3312
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricCimarronesTigres de Alica
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total48.8%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cimarrones or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.71 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cimarrones = 0.56 (league 1.52), Tigres de Alica = 1.28 (league 1.17)

Tigres de Alica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 15.9% 20.3% 13.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 11.4% 7.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1