Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.52) 1.96 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 21.6% 58.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tritons Vallarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 5.3% 10.3% 10.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.2% 10.2% 10.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMineros de FresnilloTritons Vallarta
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack38%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Tritons Vallarta
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%0%17%75%50%67%
Draws0%33%17%0%0%0%
Loses67%67%67%25%50%33%

Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWL • Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLL

League goals

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Tritons Vallarta
HATHAT
GF total3258210
GF avg1.00.70.82.01.01.7
GA total7613336
GA avg2.32.02.20.81.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMineros de FresnilloTritons Vallarta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%33%
1.533%67%50%33%
2.50%33%17%33%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMineros de FresnilloTritons Vallarta
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMineros de FresnilloTritons Vallarta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMineros de FresnilloTritons Vallarta
Wins14
Draws10
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-00-2
Biggest losses1-43-00-33-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricMineros de FresnilloTritons Vallarta
Form25%75%
Att27%73%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tritons Vallarta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.05 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 0.99 (league 1.52), Tritons Vallarta = 1.96 (league 1.18)

Tritons Vallarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 5.3% 10.3% 10.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.2% 10.2% 10.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 58.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1