Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Tres de Marzo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.52) 1.89 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 21.0% 35.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tritons Vallarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTecosTritons Vallarta
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack82%100%
Defense73%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tecos Tritons Vallarta
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%100%75%80%67%75%
Draws25%0%13%0%0%0%
Loses25%0%13%20%33%25%

Form: Tecos: WLWDWWWW • Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Tecos Tritons Vallarta
HATHAT
GF total791611516
GF avg1.82.32.02.21.72.0
GA total5495510
GA avg1.31.01.11.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTecosTritons Vallarta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%75%50%
1.575%25%63%50%
2.525%13%38%25%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTecosTritons Vallarta
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricTecosTritons Vallarta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTecosTritons Vallarta
Wins14
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-00-2
Biggest losses2-4—0-33-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricTecosTritons Vallarta
Form59%41%
Att45%55%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tecos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tecos = 2.01 (league 1.52), Tritons Vallarta = 1.89 (league 1.17)

Tritons Vallarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 35.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1