Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.52) 1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 28.0% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 10.0% 10.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCimarronesLeones Negros
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack86%100%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cimarrones Leones Negros
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%50%50%50%
Draws0%25%13%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Cimarrones: WWWDLWWL • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Cimarrones Leones Negros
HATHAT
GF total65115611
GF avg1.51.31.41.31.51.4
GA total325358
GA avg0.80.50.60.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCimarronesLeones Negros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%75%63%
1.525%13%38%38%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCimarronesLeones Negros
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricCimarronesLeones Negros
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCimarronesLeones Negros
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-02-3
Biggest losses1-21-00-22-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricCimarronesLeones Negros
Form37%63%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Bet365
Draw3.90 @ Dafabet
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cimarrones = 1.28 (league 1.52), Leones Negros = 1.02 (league 1.18)

Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cimarrones 0 10.0% 10.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1