Second League
— Egypt
Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 13:00 •
Al Qanah Stadium
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 0.97)
0.29 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.9% | 15.0% | 3.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.2%
1 - 0
18.7%
3 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Aswan Sc | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympic El Qanah | 0 | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.2% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Olympic El Qanah carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 272 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olympic El Qanah +0.5, Aswan Sc -23.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Olympic El Qanah
vs
Aswan Sc
Elo gapOlympic El Qanah +272
Home / draw / away68% / 18% / 14%
Expected home share83%
Combined Elo3034.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3034.2
Elo home share
83%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1635.7 | 1398.5 |
| Form Elo | 1640.8 | 1381.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1552.8 | 1454.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1579.9 | 1327.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1659.2 | 1512.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.5 | -23.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Olympic El Qanah last-5 Elo change: +0.5; Aswan Sc last-5 Elo change: -23.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 30% |
| Defense | 50% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 60% | 69% | 65% | 19% | 13% | 16% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 44% | 20% | 32% |
| Loses | 7% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 67% | 52% |
Olympic El QanahDWDWDWDLWWDDWWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWLD
Aswan ScDLWDDLDLLWLWWDLLDLLDLLDLWLDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 22 | 51 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 45% | 39% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 6% | 6% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olympic El Qanah | Aswan Sc |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 74.3% | 25.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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