Second League — Egypt
Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 13:00 • Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 0.97) 0.38 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 33.7% 13.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.0%
0 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Dayrout
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Seka El Hadid 0 23.1% 8.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 9.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

El Seka El Hadid carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 96 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: El Seka El Hadid +5.5, Dayrout +5.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
El Seka El Hadid Elo 1523.9 · +5.5
vs
Dayrout Elo 1463.4 · +5.0
Elo gapEl Seka El Hadid +96
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo2987.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2987.3
Elo home share 63%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric El Seka El Hadid Dayrout
Overall Elo1523.91463.4
Form Elo1532.21471.4
Home / Away Elo1485.81468.6
Attack Elo1446.31320.8
Defense Elo1552.61573.6
Last 5 Elo change+5.5+5.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. El Seka El Hadid last-5 Elo change: +5.5; Dayrout last-5 Elo change: +5.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl Seka El HadidDayrout
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack70%50%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Seka El Hadid Dayrout
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins33%44%39%31%7%19%
Draws27%25%26%50%40%45%
Loses40%31%35%19%53%35%
El Seka El HadidDLLLDDWDWLDLLDDLWWWWLWDWWLLWWWL
DayroutLWLDDLDWDLLDWLDLLDLDDLWDWDWDLDD

League goals

Metric El Seka El Hadid Dayrout
HATHAT
GF total11172810616
GF avg0.71.10.90.60.40.5
GA total13173072330
GA avg0.91.11.00.41.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl Seka El HadidDayrout
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%58%45%52%
1.526%26%6%23%
2.53%6%0%10%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl Seka El HadidDayrout
HATHAT
Clean sheets671310515
Failed to score751271017

Penalties

MetricEl Seka El HadidDayrout
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEl Seka El HadidDayrout
Wins41
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-11-26-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2426

Model comparison

MetricEl Seka El HadidDayrout
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.3%45.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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