Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.45) 0.57 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 29.9% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Vinotinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imbabura 0 16.0% 9.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricImbaburaAtlético Vinotinto
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack41%35%
Defense65%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Imbabura Atlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins36%8%22%64%17%39%
Draws36%17%26%18%17%17%
Loses27%75%52%18%67%43%

Form: Imbabura: LDLDDDLDLWLWLLLLDLWLWLW • Atlético Vinotinto: LWLWLLWDWLLDDLWDWWLLWWL

League goals

Metric Imbabura Atlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
GF total14122629837
GF avg1.31.01.12.60.71.6
GA total82432101727
GA avg0.72.01.40.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineImbaburaAtlético Vinotinto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%78%61%74%
1.526%48%43%35%
2.513%13%26%9%
3.59%0%13%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricImbaburaAtlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
Clean sheets505426
Failed to score448279

Penalties

MetricImbaburaAtlético Vinotinto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricImbaburaAtlético Vinotinto
Wins12
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-38-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-0
Goals For4382
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricImbaburaAtlético Vinotinto
Form60%40%
Att54%46%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Imbabura or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Imbabura = 1.26 (league 1.45), Atlético Vinotinto = 0.57 (league 0.85)

Atlético Vinotinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imbabura 0 16.0% 9.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1