Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Arena CHUBB
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.42) 0.57 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.6% 13.7% 6.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cumbayá
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Vinotinto 0 4.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético VinotintoCumbayá
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack75%33%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético Vinotinto Cumbayá
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins58%21%38%38%23%31%
Draws25%21%23%31%23%27%
Loses17%57%38%31%54%42%

Form: Atlético Vinotinto: LWLWLLWDWLLDDLWDWWLLWWLWDD • Cumbayá: WWWDDWLLLDDLLDWWLLWLLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Atlético Vinotinto Cumbayá
HATHAT
GF total29134215823
GF avg2.40.91.61.20.60.9
GA total101929132033
GA avg0.81.41.11.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético VinotintoCumbayá
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%69%58%65%
1.546%35%23%31%
2.527%8%4%19%
3.512%0%4%12%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético VinotintoCumbayá
HATHAT
Clean sheets538639
Failed to score37104711

Penalties

MetricAtlético VinotintoCumbayá
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAtlético VinotintoCumbayá
Wins23
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-34-0
Goals For8342
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAtlético VinotintoCumbayá
Form62%38%
Att69%31%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals80%20%
Total69.3%30.7%

Advice: Winner : Atlético Vinotinto

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away4.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético Vinotinto = 2.54 (league 1.42), Cumbayá = 0.57 (league 0.84)

Cumbayá
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Vinotinto 0 4.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.6% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 6.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1