Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Olímpico Etho Vega Baquero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.45) 0.49 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.5% 9.9% 3.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.0%
3 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chacaritas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vargas Torres 0 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.5% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 6.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVargas TorresChacaritas
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack58%83%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vargas Torres Chacaritas
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins54%0%27%21%8%15%
Draws38%62%50%57%17%38%
Loses8%38%23%21%75%46%

Form: Vargas Torres: WLDDDDDLWLDDDWLWDWLLDDDWDW • Chacaritas: LDDDLDLLWLDLDLLLLWLDWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Vargas Torres Chacaritas
HATHAT
GF total22113322830
GF avg1.70.81.31.60.71.2
GA total81624213051
GA avg0.61.20.91.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVargas TorresChacaritas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%58%65%92%
1.531%27%31%54%
2.515%8%15%31%
3.58%0%4%12%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVargas TorresChacaritas
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411112
Failed to score257279

Penalties

MetricVargas TorresChacaritas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricVargas TorresChacaritas
Wins11
Draws53
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—4-11-3
Biggest losses1-23-20-26-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricVargas TorresChacaritas
Form60%40%
Att41%59%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Vargas Torres or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Bet365
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away9.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vargas Torres = 2.93 (league 1.45), Chacaritas = 0.49 (league 0.85)

Chacaritas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vargas Torres 0 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.5% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.0% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 6.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 3.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1