Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Folke Anderson
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.40) 0.65 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 24.7% 14.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Vinotinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vargas Torres 0 10.6% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 10.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVargas TorresAtlético Vinotinto
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack88%63%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vargas Torres Atlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
Played141327131427
Wins50%0%26%54%21%37%
Draws43%62%52%23%21%22%
Loses7%38%22%23%57%41%

Form: Vargas Torres: WLDDDDDLWLDDDWLWDWLLDDDWDWD • Atlético Vinotinto: LWLWLLWDWLLDDLWDWWLLWWLWDDL

League goals

Metric Vargas Torres Atlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
GF total221133291342
GF avg1.60.81.22.20.91.6
GA total81624111930
GA avg0.61.20.90.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVargas TorresAtlético Vinotinto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%56%59%70%
1.530%26%44%33%
2.515%7%26%7%
3.57%0%11%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVargas TorresAtlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412538
Failed to score3584711

Penalties

MetricVargas TorresAtlético Vinotinto
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricVargas TorresAtlético Vinotinto
Wins12
Draws52
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-08-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-21-23-0
Goals For4383
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricVargas TorresAtlético Vinotinto
Form64%36%
Att58%42%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Vargas Torres or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vargas Torres = 1.60 (league 1.40), Atlético Vinotinto = 0.65 (league 0.83)

Atlético Vinotinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vargas Torres 0 10.6% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 10.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1