Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.45) 0.84 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.6% 34.3% 33.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
15.7%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vargas Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imbabura 0 18.7% 15.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricImbaburaVargas Torres
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack27%18%
Defense36%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Imbabura Vargas Torres
HATHAT
Played141428151429
Wins29%7%18%47%0%24%
Draws43%21%32%47%64%55%
Loses29%71%50%7%36%21%

Form: Imbabura: LDLDDDLDLWLWLLLLDLWLWLWLDLDD • Vargas Torres: WLDDDDDLWLDDDWLWDWLLDDDWDWDDD

League goals

Metric Imbabura Vargas Torres
HATHAT
GF total151429221133
GF avg1.11.01.01.50.81.1
GA total12273981624
GA avg0.91.91.40.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineImbaburaVargas Torres
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%66%52%
1.521%46%28%24%
2.511%14%14%7%
3.57%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricImbaburaVargas Torres
HATHAT
Clean sheets6069514
Failed to score64104610

Penalties

MetricImbaburaVargas Torres
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricImbaburaVargas Torres
Wins11
Draws35
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-34-0—
Biggest losses0-33-01-23-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricImbaburaVargas Torres
Form30%70%
Att60%40%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total36.3%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vargas Torres and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 188Bet
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away6.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Imbabura = 0.84 (league 1.45), Vargas Torres = 0.84 (league 0.85)

Vargas Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imbabura 0 18.7% 15.7% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1