Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.45) 1.23 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 27.8% 38.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Vargas Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chacaritas 0 9.4% 11.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChacaritasVargas Torres
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack13%13%
Defense53%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chacaritas Vargas Torres
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins20%7%13%47%0%23%
Draws53%27%40%47%60%53%
Loses27%67%47%7%40%23%

Form: Chacaritas: LDDDLDLLWLDLDLLLLWLDWDLWDDDLDL • Vargas Torres: WLDDDDDLWLDDDWLWDWLLDDDWDWDDDL

League goals

Metric Chacaritas Vargas Torres
HATHAT
GF total22830221133
GF avg1.50.51.01.50.71.1
GA total22345681725
GA avg1.52.31.90.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChacaritasVargas Torres
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%87%63%53%
1.527%50%27%23%
2.513%30%13%7%
3.53%13%7%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChacaritasVargas Torres
HATHAT
Clean sheets1349514
Failed to score310134711

Penalties

MetricChacaritasVargas Torres
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricChacaritasVargas Torres
Wins11
Draws35
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-0—
Biggest losses0-26-01-23-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against3623

Model comparison

MetricChacaritasVargas Torres
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h36%64%
Goals43%57%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vargas Torres and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away1.73 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betano
No2.25 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chacaritas = 1.14 (league 1.45), Vargas Torres = 1.23 (league 0.85)

Vargas Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chacaritas 0 9.4% 11.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 38.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1