Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.40) 0.97 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 30.9% 33.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Vinotinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cumbayá 0 13.6% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCumbayáAtlético Vinotinto
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack40%47%
Defense93%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cumbayá Atlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
Played141529151530
Wins36%33%34%53%20%37%
Draws36%20%28%27%27%27%
Loses29%47%38%20%53%37%

Form: Cumbayá: WWWDDWLLLDDLLDWWLLWLLLDLDWWDW • Atlético Vinotinto: LWLWLLWDWLLDDLWDWWLLWWLWDDLDDW

League goals

Metric Cumbayá Atlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
GF total151227341347
GF avg1.10.80.92.30.91.6
GA total132134121931
GA avg0.91.41.20.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCumbayáAtlético Vinotinto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%62%60%67%
1.524%28%43%30%
2.57%17%27%7%
3.53%10%13%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCumbayáAtlético Vinotinto
HATHAT
Clean sheets74116410
Failed to score57124812

Penalties

MetricCumbayáAtlético Vinotinto
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricCumbayáAtlético Vinotinto
Wins32
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-38-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-23-0
Goals For4383
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricCumbayáAtlético Vinotinto
Form65%35%
Att46%54%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h67%33%
Goals33%67%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cumbayá or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Fonbet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bwin
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bwin
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cumbayá = 1.02 (league 1.40), Atlético Vinotinto = 0.97 (league 0.83)

Atlético Vinotinto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cumbayá 0 13.6% 13.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 33.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1