Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Folke Anderson
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.45) 0.47 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 26.5% 11.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cumbayá
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vargas Torres 0 14.7% 6.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVargas TorresCumbayá
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack6%33%
Defense94%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vargas Torres Cumbayá
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%6%26%38%33%35%
Draws47%56%52%38%20%29%
Loses7%38%23%25%47%35%

Form: Vargas Torres: WLDDDDDLWLDDDWLWDWLLDDDWDWDDDLW • Cumbayá: WWWDDWLLLDDLLDWWLLWLLLDLDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Vargas Torres Cumbayá
HATHAT
GF total221234171229
GF avg1.50.81.11.10.80.9
GA total81725142135
GA avg0.51.10.80.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVargas TorresCumbayá
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%52%58%61%
1.526%23%26%26%
2.513%6%6%16%
3.56%0%3%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVargas TorresCumbayá
HATHAT
Clean sheets96158412
Failed to score47116713

Penalties

MetricVargas TorresCumbayá
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricVargas TorresCumbayá
Wins13
Draws52
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-21-34-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricVargas TorresCumbayá
Form35%65%
Att14%86%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Vargas Torres or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away3.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vargas Torres = 1.45 (league 1.45), Cumbayá = 0.47 (league 0.85)

Cumbayá
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vargas Torres 0 14.7% 6.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.3% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 11.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1