Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:00 • Cancha de Camurí Chico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.41) 0.40 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.3% 14.7% 5.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bolívar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marítimo 0 6.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.5% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarítimoBolívar
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack33%7%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marítimo Bolívar
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%31%44%38%17%28%
Draws33%31%32%54%25%40%
Loses8%38%24%8%58%32%

Form: Marítimo: DWLDLWWLWWLWWWDDDDLWWWDDL • Bolívar: LDWDWWDDDLDLWLLDDWWLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Marítimo Bolívar
HATHAT
GF total27174414620
GF avg2.31.31.81.10.50.8
GA total81321111728
GA avg0.71.00.80.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarítimoBolívar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%56%68%
1.548%12%20%32%
2.524%4%4%12%
3.516%0%0%0%
4.512%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarítimoBolívar
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score3693811

Penalties

MetricMarítimoBolívar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMarítimoBolívar
Wins32
Draws43
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-21-53-20-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-23-0
Goals For7532
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMarítimoBolívar
Form62%38%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Marítimo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Marathonbet
Away6.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marítimo = 2.28 (league 1.41), Bolívar = 0.40 (league 0.87)

Bolívar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marítimo 0 6.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.5% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.3% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 5.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1