Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Páez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.41) 0.41 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 26.9% 10.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Angostura FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragua FC 0 16.0% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 9.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 6.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAragua FCAngostura FC
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack14%23%
Defense82%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aragua FC Angostura FC
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins31%25%28%23%17%20%
Draws62%25%44%23%33%28%
Loses8%50%28%54%50%52%

Form: Aragua FC: DDLDWDWWDDDWWLDLLLDWDLWDL • Angostura FC: LDDLLLLWDWLLLWWDDLDLLLDWL

League goals

Metric Aragua FC Angostura FC
HATHAT
GF total13720111122
GF avg1.00.60.80.80.90.9
GA total51015172441
GA avg0.40.80.61.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAragua FCAngostura FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%52%64%68%
1.516%8%16%40%
2.58%0%4%28%
3.54%0%4%16%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAragua FCAngostura FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412448
Failed to score6612639

Penalties

MetricAragua FCAngostura FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAragua FCAngostura FC
Wins22
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-14-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-11-56-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against1256

Model comparison

MetricAragua FCAngostura FC
Form56%44%
Att38%63%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h88%13%
Goals83%17%
Total69.2%31.2%

Advice: Double chance : Aragua FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away4.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aragua FC = 1.42 (league 1.41), Angostura FC = 0.41 (league 0.87)

Angostura FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragua FC 0 16.0% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 9.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 6.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 10.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1