Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Metallurg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.60) 0.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 22.2% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vardar Negotino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novaci 0 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.4% 10.5% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaciVardar Negotino
Played22
Form50%50%
Attack10%10%
Defense90%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novaci Vardar Negotino
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%0%50%50%—50%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%100%50%50%—50%

Form: Novaci: WL • Vardar Negotino: WL

League goals

Metric Novaci Vardar Negotino
HATHAT
GF total202202
GF avg2.00.01.01.00.01.0
GA total022303
GA avg0.02.01.01.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaciVardar Negotino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%100%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaciVardar Negotino
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricNovaciVardar Negotino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNovaciVardar Negotino
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-2—
Goals For2020
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricNovaciVardar Negotino
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Novaci or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novaci = 1.88 (league 1.60), Vardar Negotino = 0.93 (league 1.08)

Vardar Negotino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novaci 0 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.4% 10.5% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1