Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion Metallurg
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.51)
3.29 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7% | 15.3% | 51.9% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.0%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sasa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novaci | 0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 62% | 100% |
| Defense | 38% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
Form: Novaci: WLWLW • Sasa: DDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novaci | Sasa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-2 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novaci | Sasa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Novaci or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Novaci = 1.99 (league 1.51), Sasa = 3.29 (league 1.06)
| Sasa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novaci | 0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 51.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1