Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 •
Cvaj Arena
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.60)
6.86 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9% | 1.7% | 29.1% |
best score tips
1 - 5
4.8%
0 - 5
3.8%
1 - 4
3.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ohrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vardar Negotino | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 54% | 54% |
| Defense | 0% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Vardar Negotino: WLLLW • Ohrid: DLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 3-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vardar Negotino | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Ohrid and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vardar Negotino = 1.25 (league 1.60), Ohrid = 6.86 (league 1.08)
| Ohrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vardar Negotino | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 29.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1