Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Železarnica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.90 (league 1.51) 1.88 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 8.0% 7.2%
best score tips
4 - 1
5.1%
5 - 1
5.0%
4 - 2
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Vardar Negotino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skopje 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 2.2% 4.2% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.7% 5.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSkopjeVardar Negotino
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack100%46%
Defense31%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.819 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Skopje Vardar Negotino
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%33%50%25%50%33%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%75%50%67%

Form: Skopje: WLDWWD • Vardar Negotino: WLLLWL

League goals

Metric Skopje Vardar Negotino
HATHAT
GF total11617448
GF avg3.72.02.81.02.01.3
GA total36916420
GA avg1.02.01.54.02.03.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSkopjeVardar Negotino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%83%100%
1.567%50%50%67%
2.533%17%0%50%
3.517%0%0%33%
4.517%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSkopjeVardar Negotino
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricSkopjeVardar Negotino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSkopjeVardar Negotino
Wins21
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-12-32-11-2
Biggest losses3-21-83-2
Goals For8322
Goals Against2383

Model comparison

MetricSkopjeVardar Negotino
Form73%27%
Att73%27%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Skopje and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Skopje = 4.90 (league 1.51), Vardar Negotino = 1.88 (league 1.06)

Vardar Negotino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skopje 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 2.2% 4.2% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.7% 5.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 7.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1