Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Metallurg
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.56) 1.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.6% 24.2% 30.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ohrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novaci 0 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.3% 7.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.9% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaciOhrid
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack75%83%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novaci Ohrid
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins75%33%57%25%67%43%
Draws25%0%14%75%0%43%
Loses0%67%29%0%33%14%

Form: Novaci: WLWLWDW • Ohrid: DLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Novaci Ohrid
HATHAT
GF total65113912
GF avg1.51.71.60.83.01.7
GA total268156
GA avg0.52.01.10.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaciOhrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%71%57%
1.557%43%43%29%
2.529%14%29%0%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaciOhrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricNovaciOhrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNovaciOhrid
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-01-5
Biggest losses—4-2—2-1
Goals For3325
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricNovaciOhrid
Form48%52%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ohrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novaci = 1.63 (league 1.56), Ohrid = 1.30 (league 1.15)

Ohrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novaci 0 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.3% 7.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.9% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 30.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1