Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.57) 4.01 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 7.3% 66.7%
best score tips
0 - 4
7.5%
0 - 3
7.5%
1 - 4
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Muğlaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
İnegölspor 0 0.7% 2.8% 5.6% 7.5% 7.5% 6.0%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 5.8%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricİnegölsporMuğlaspor
Played54
Form60%67%
Attack64%79%
Defense57%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric İnegölspor Muğlaspor
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins50%67%60%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses50%33%40%0%0%0%

Form: İnegölspor: LWWLW • Muğlaspor: DDWW

League goals

Metric İnegölspor Muğlaspor
HATHAT
GF total3694711
GF avg1.52.01.82.03.52.8
GA total336022
GA avg1.51.01.20.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineİnegölsporMuğlaspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%75%25%
1.560%40%75%25%
2.520%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricİnegölsporMuğlaspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricİnegölsporMuğlaspor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricİnegölsporMuğlaspor
Wins20
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-00-5
Biggest losses1-22-1
Goals For2345
Goals Against2202

Model comparison

MetricİnegölsporMuğlaspor
Form53%47%
Att45%55%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Winner : Muğlaspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.34 @ Marathonbet
Away2.62 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 1xBet
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): İnegölspor = 0.95 (league 1.57), Muğlaspor = 4.01 (league 1.31)

Muğlaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
İnegölspor 0 0.7% 2.8% 5.6% 7.5% 7.5% 6.0%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 5.8%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 66.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1