Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Timsah Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.61) 0.59 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 27.0% 15.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
13.6%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aliağa FAŞ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bursaspor 0 13.3% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBursasporAliağa FAŞ
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack65%65%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bursaspor Aliağa FAŞ
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%75%75%88%25%56%
Draws13%0%6%13%25%19%
Loses13%25%19%0%50%25%

Form: Bursaspor: WWWWWLLWWDWLWWWW • Aliağa FAŞ: WLWLWWDWWWLWDWLD

League goals

Metric Bursaspor Aliağa FAŞ
HATHAT
GF total182442291039
GF avg2.33.02.63.61.32.4
GA total58134812
GA avg0.61.00.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBursasporAliağa FAŞ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%81%63%
1.569%19%63%13%
2.544%6%44%0%
3.519%6%13%0%
4.513%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBursasporAliağa FAŞ
HATHAT
Clean sheets448426
Failed to score101033

Penalties

MetricBursasporAliağa FAŞ
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBursasporAliağa FAŞ
Wins53
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-88-10-3
Biggest losses0-14-12-1
Goals For4883
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricBursasporAliağa FAŞ
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.3%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bursaspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.05 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bursaspor = 1.43 (league 1.61), Aliağa FAŞ = 0.59 (league 1.33)

Aliağa FAŞ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bursaspor 0 13.3% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 15.2%

vtt 3 , vtd1