2. Lig — Turkey
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 12:00 • Yeni Buca Stadı
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.61) 1.35 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 28.2% 56.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.2%
0 - 0
14.9%
0 - 2
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Karacabey Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buca FK 0 14.9% 20.2% 13.7% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuca FKKaracabey Belediyespor
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack9%22%
Defense70%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buca FK Karacabey Belediyespor
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins13%11%12%22%25%24%
Draws13%22%18%11%25%18%
Loses75%67%71%67%50%59%

Form: Buca FK: DLLLLLLDLLDWWLLLL • Karacabey Belediyespor: DLLWWLLLLWLDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Buca FK Karacabey Belediyespor
HATHAT
GF total611179716
GF avg0.81.21.01.00.90.9
GA total16193517926
GA avg2.02.12.11.91.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuca FKKaracabey Belediyespor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%94%71%76%
1.535%59%18%53%
2.518%35%6%18%
3.50%12%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuca FKKaracabey Belediyespor
HATHAT
Clean sheets011134
Failed to score549325

Penalties

MetricBuca FKKaracabey Belediyespor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBuca FKKaracabey Belediyespor
Wins22
Draws11
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-10-2
Biggest losses0-53-00-32-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against5442

Model comparison

MetricBuca FKKaracabey Belediyespor
Form43%57%
Att29%71%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Karacabey Belediyespor and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.84 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buca FK = 0.55 (league 1.61), Karacabey Belediyespor = 1.35 (league 1.33)

Karacabey Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buca FK 0 14.9% 20.2% 13.7% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 56.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1