2. Lig — Turkey
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 10:00 • Hasan Doğan Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.61) 2.64 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.9% 11.5% 79.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.5%
0 - 3
14.5%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Karacabey Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kepez Belediyespor 0 4.8% 12.5% 16.5% 14.5% 9.6% 5.0%
1 1.9% 5.1% 6.8% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKepez BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack23%62%
Defense0%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kepez Belediyespor Karacabey Belediyespor
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins11%11%11%22%33%28%
Draws11%22%17%11%22%17%
Loses78%67%72%67%44%56%

Form: Kepez Belediyespor: DDLLLLWWLLLLLLLLDL • Karacabey Belediyespor: DLLWWLLLLWLDLLLDWW

League goals

Metric Kepez Belediyespor Karacabey Belediyespor
HATHAT
GF total561191120
GF avg0.60.70.61.01.21.1
GA total261844171027
GA avg2.92.02.41.91.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKepez BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%83%72%78%
1.56%72%22%50%
2.50%39%11%17%
3.50%28%6%6%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKepez BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor
HATHAT
Clean sheets213134
Failed to score448325

Penalties

MetricKepez BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKepez BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor
Wins22
Draws21
Losses84

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-11-4
Biggest losses0-64-00-32-0
Goals For1234
Goals Against6442

Model comparison

MetricKepez BelediyesporKaracabey Belediyespor
Form13%88%
Att27%73%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total29.8%70.3%

Advice: Winner : Karacabey Belediyespor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.04 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away1.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kepez Belediyespor = 0.41 (league 1.61), Karacabey Belediyespor = 2.64 (league 1.32)

Karacabey Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kepez Belediyespor 0 4.8% 12.5% 16.5% 14.5% 9.6% 5.0%
1 1.9% 5.1% 6.8% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 79.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1