2. Lig — Turkey
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:00 • Timsah Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.60 (league 1.61) 0.32 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.8% 2.2% 0.5%
best score tips
4 - 0
13.7%
5 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bursaspor 0 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.7% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.6% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBursasporYeni Malatyaspor
Played55
Form87%7%
Attack92%15%
Defense92%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bursaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
HATHAT
Played98176713
Wins67%75%71%0%0%0%
Draws22%0%12%17%14%15%
Loses11%25%18%83%86%85%

Form: Bursaspor: WWWWWLLWWDWLWWWWD • Yeni Malatyaspor: LLLLLDLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Bursaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
HATHAT
GF total182442358
GF avg2.03.02.50.50.70.6
GA total5813252651
GA avg0.61.00.84.23.73.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBursasporYeni Malatyaspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%47%62%92%
1.565%18%0%85%
2.541%6%0%69%
3.518%6%0%46%
4.512%0%0%31%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBursasporYeni Malatyaspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets549101
Failed to score202325

Penalties

MetricBursasporYeni Malatyaspor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBursasporYeni Malatyaspor
Wins50
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-8——
Biggest losses0-14-10-88-1
Goals For4811
Goals Against2488

Model comparison

MetricBursasporYeni Malatyaspor
Form93%7%
Att86%14%
Def93%7%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h85%15%
Goals79%21%
Total88.5%11.5%

Advice: Winner : Bursaspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bursaspor = 4.60 (league 1.61), Yeni Malatyaspor = 0.32 (league 1.33)

Yeni Malatyaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bursaspor 0 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.7% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.6% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 2.2% · Away win 0.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1