Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 10:00 •
Yeni Buca Stadı
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.61)
2.41 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 17.8% | 63.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Kastamonuspor 1966 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buca FK | 0 | 3.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 50% |
| Defense | 31% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 20% | 10% | 15% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Draws | 10% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Loses | 70% | 70% | 70% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
Form: Buca FK: DLLLLLLDLLDWWLLLLLWL • Kastamonuspor 1966: LLWWLWLLWWLWWLWWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 20 | 23 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 90% | 75% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 15% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 20% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-1 | 7-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Buca FK | Kastamonuspor 1966 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Kastamonuspor 1966
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Buca FK = 1.04 (league 1.61), Kastamonuspor 1966 = 2.41 (league 1.33)
| Kastamonuspor 1966 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buca FK | 0 | 3.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 63.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1