Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:00 • İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.60) 1.14 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 25.3% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kastamonuspor 1966
0 1 2 3 4 5
İnegölspor 0 6.9% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.0% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricİnegölsporKastamonuspor 1966
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack61%33%
Defense83%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric İnegölspor Kastamonuspor 1966
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%55%55%36%55%45%
Draws18%27%23%18%18%18%
Loses27%18%23%45%27%36%

Form: İnegölspor: LWWLWLDWDWWWWDLLWWDWWD • Kastamonuspor 1966: LLWWLWLLWWLWWLWWLDDDWD

League goals

Metric İnegölspor Kastamonuspor 1966
HATHAT
GF total212243171734
GF avg1.92.02.01.51.51.5
GA total111324161430
GA avg1.01.21.11.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineİnegölsporKastamonuspor 1966
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%77%82%
1.550%32%41%41%
2.536%9%14%9%
3.59%5%9%5%
4.59%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricİnegölsporKastamonuspor 1966
HATHAT
Clean sheets358224
Failed to score213325

Penalties

MetricİnegölsporKastamonuspor 1966
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricİnegölsporKastamonuspor 1966
Wins42
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-57-11-4
Biggest losses0-24-22-42-0
Goals For6574
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricİnegölsporKastamonuspor 1966
Form61%39%
Att65%35%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : İnegölspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): İnegölspor = 1.54 (league 1.60), Kastamonuspor 1966 = 1.14 (league 1.32)

Kastamonuspor 1966
0 1 2 3 4 5
İnegölspor 0 6.9% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.0% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 28.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1