Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 10:00 • Hasan Doğan Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.62) 3.32 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 6.1% 80.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
16.3%
0 - 2
14.7%
0 - 4
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Muğlaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kepez Belediyespor 0 2.7% 8.9% 14.7% 16.3% 13.5% 9.0%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.5% 4.9% 4.1% 2.7%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKepez BelediyesporMuğlaspor
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack53%32%
Defense58%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kepez Belediyespor Muğlaspor
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%18%19%73%60%67%
Draws10%27%19%27%20%24%
Loses70%55%62%0%20%10%

Form: Kepez Belediyespor: DDLLLLWWLLLLLLLLDLWWD • Muğlaspor: DDWWWWLWLWWWWWWDDDWWW

League goals

Metric Kepez Belediyespor Muğlaspor
HATHAT
GF total71118171633
GF avg0.71.00.91.51.61.6
GA total2719464711
GA avg2.71.72.20.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKepez BelediyesporMuğlaspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%81%86%38%
1.514%62%48%14%
2.55%33%10%0%
3.55%24%10%0%
4.50%10%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKepez BelediyesporMuğlaspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets2247613
Failed to score448213

Penalties

MetricKepez BelediyesporMuğlaspor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricKepez BelediyesporMuğlaspor
Wins26
Draws23
Losses81

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-00-5
Biggest losses0-64-02-1
Goals For2445
Goals Against6412

Model comparison

MetricKepez BelediyesporMuğlaspor
Form42%58%
Att63%38%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total35.5%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Muğlaspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.10 @ 188Bet
Away1.22 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kepez Belediyespor = 0.30 (league 1.62), Muğlaspor = 3.32 (league 1.30)

Muğlaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kepez Belediyespor 0 2.7% 8.9% 14.7% 16.3% 13.5% 9.0%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.5% 4.9% 4.1% 2.7%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 80.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1