Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:00 • Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.62) 1.05 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 13.7% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Muş Menderesspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aliağa FAŞ 0 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 5.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAliağa FAŞMuş Menderesspor
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack69%81%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aliağa FAŞ Muş Menderesspor
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins82%33%57%82%50%65%
Draws18%25%22%18%17%17%
Loses0%42%22%0%33%17%

Form: Aliağa FAŞ: WLWLWWDWWWLWDWLDDLWWWWD • Muş Menderesspor: WLDWWLDLWDWLWDWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Aliağa FAŞ Muş Menderesspor
HATHAT
GF total351550302757
GF avg3.21.32.22.72.32.5
GA total7121961824
GA avg0.61.00.80.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAliağa FAŞMuş Menderesspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%87%70%
1.561%17%65%26%
2.539%4%48%4%
3.59%0%26%4%
4.59%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAliağa FAŞMuş Menderesspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets639617
Failed to score055033

Penalties

MetricAliağa FAŞMuş Menderesspor
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAliağa FAŞMuş Menderesspor
Wins42
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-35-02-8
Biggest losses2-04-1
Goals For8358
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricAliağa FAŞMuş Menderesspor
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Aliağa FAŞ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aliağa FAŞ = 2.96 (league 1.62), Muş Menderesspor = 1.05 (league 1.31)

Muş Menderesspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aliağa FAŞ 0 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 5.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 10.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1