2. Lig — Turkey
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 12:30 • Yeni Buca Stadı
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.61) 1.83 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.4% 22.8% 53.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Erbaaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buca FK 0 5.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.8% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuca FKErbaaspor
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack31%31%
Defense8%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buca FK Erbaaspor
HATHAT
Played131326141327
Wins15%8%12%36%23%30%
Draws8%23%15%7%23%15%
Loses77%69%73%57%54%56%

Form: Buca FK: DLLLLLLDLLDWWLLLLLWLLLLDLL • Erbaaspor: DLWWDLLWWWWLLLLLLLLLWLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Buca FK Erbaaspor
HATHAT
GF total141529151631
GF avg1.11.21.11.11.21.1
GA total263056262147
GA avg2.02.32.21.91.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuca FKErbaaspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%92%63%81%
1.535%58%30%48%
2.515%38%7%33%
3.54%23%7%7%
4.54%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuca FKErbaaspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score75126410

Penalties

MetricBuca FKErbaaspor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBuca FKErbaaspor
Wins24
Draws12
Losses69

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-12-01-6
Biggest losses0-54-00-53-0
Goals For5346
Goals Against5453

Model comparison

MetricBuca FKErbaaspor
Form17%83%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Erbaaspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buca FK = 1.09 (league 1.61), Erbaaspor = 1.83 (league 1.31)

Erbaaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buca FK 0 5.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.8% 10.7% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 53.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1