Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 12:30 • Mugla Atatürk Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.62) 0.30 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 27.1% 7.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.7%
0 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ankaragücü
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muğlaspor 0 18.5% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 7.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuğlasporAnkaragücü
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack27%64%
Defense91%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Muğlaspor Ankaragücü
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins71%57%64%50%43%46%
Draws29%21%25%36%21%29%
Loses0%21%11%14%36%25%

Form: Muğlaspor: DDWWWWLWLWWWWWWDDDWWWWWWDDWL • Ankaragücü: DLLWDLWDWWLLDWWWWLWDLWDDWWDW

League goals

Metric Muğlaspor Ankaragücü
HATHAT
GF total221941191837
GF avg1.61.41.51.41.31.3
GA total4913121931
GA avg0.30.60.50.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuğlasporAnkaragücü
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%36%82%61%
1.546%11%39%25%
2.511%0%7%11%
3.57%0%4%11%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuğlasporAnkaragücü
HATHAT
Clean sheets108186511
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricMuğlasporAnkaragücü
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricMuğlasporAnkaragücü
Wins64
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-54-10-2
Biggest losses2-11-45-0
Goals For4542
Goals Against1245

Model comparison

MetricMuğlasporAnkaragücü
Form42%58%
Att30%70%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Muğlaspor or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Bet365
Draw3.62 @ Marathonbet
Away6.31 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Muğlaspor = 1.39 (league 1.62), Ankaragücü = 0.30 (league 1.30)

Ankaragücü
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muğlaspor 0 18.5% 5.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 7.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 7.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1